Public Forum - Sept-Oct 2021 - NATO and Baltic States

Public Forum - Sept-Oct 2021 - NATO and Baltic States

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TIME STAMPS

Definitions and Background 7:07
Pro Arguments 27:07
Con Arguments 46:51
Final Thoughts 1:03:10

SOURCES CITED

INFORMATIONAL/NEUTRAL SOURCES:

Sally Painter, Atlantic Council (2020), general pro-alliance view of recent Baltic history: https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/us-must-remain-committed-to-nato-and-the-baltic-states/

Kepe and Osberg, Small Wars Journal (2017), comparing Baltic and Russian military capabilities:https://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/total-defense-how-the-baltic-states-are-integrating-citizenry-into-their-national-security-

John Curran (2021), NATO Cyber-defense commitments:https://www.meritalk.com/articles/cybersecurity-ransomware-climb-policy-ladder-at-nato-g-7-meetings/

Associated Press (2020), on US Baltic Security Initiative spending $169M: https://apnews.com/article/estonia-appropriations-defense-appropriations-lithuania-latvia-c140bdd0cf580826363ec2d0427e0c02

Defense News (May 2021), on increased military coordination between Baltics: https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2021/05/24/baltic-states-vow-to-tighten-their-defense-ties-with-an-eye-on-russia/

Matt Cesare, FPRI (2020), on Russian buildup near Baltics: https://www.fpri.org/article/2020/12/russian-encroachment-in-the-baltics-the-role-of-russian-media-and-military-2/

Binnendijk and Binnendijk (2017), on Russian military exercises showing overwhelming force in Baltic region: https://www.defensenews.com/opinion/commentary/2017/11/02/deterring-the-unthinkable-natos-role-along-the-eastern-flank-commentary/

Brauss and Racz (2021), cited on various issues throughout the video: https://dgap.org/en/research/publications/russias-strategic-interests-and-actions-baltic-region#1

MAINLY PRO SOURCES:

Robert Person, Center for Strategic & Int’l Studies (2020), on Russian grand strategy in Eastern Europe: https://www.csis.org/blogs/post-soviet-post/four-myths-about-russian-grand-strategy

Fabian, et al., Ctr. for Strategic & Budgetary Assessments (2019), on Russia attacking solely to destabilize: https://csbaonline.org/uploads/documents/Stengthening_the_Defense_of_NATOs_Eastern_Frontier_WEB_1.pdf

Olevs Nikers, Jamestown Foundation (July 2021), on Baltic leaders predicting Russian efforts to destabilize: https://jamestown.org/program/baltic-security-assurances-in-wake-of-nato-summit-and-biden-putin-meeting/

Shlapak and Johnson, RAND Corp. (2016), Russia would roll over Baltics in hours: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1200/RR1253/RAND_RR1253.pdf

Hal Brands, AEI (2019), on Russian aggression in Baltics spiraling into nuclear war: https://www.aei.org/op-eds/how-russia-could-force-a-nuclear-war-in-the-baltics/

MAINLY CON SOURCES:

Robert Farley, National Interest (2017), Russia would lose badly in Baltic confl: https://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/natos-worst-fear-losing-russia-war-it-could-have-happened-22653

Doug Bandow, CATO Institute (2016), on clear reasons for Russia not to attack Baltics: https://www.cato.org/commentary/why-earth-would-russia-attack-baltics

Andrew Radin, RAND Corp. (2017), Russia views Baltics as too Western/pro-NATO to be worthwhile target: https://www.rand.org/blog/2017/11/how-nato-could-accidentally-trigger-a-war-with-russia.html

Robert Hamilton, US Army War College (August 2020), Russia won’t invade Baltics and NATO should focus on Black Sea instead: https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2020/08/nato-needs-focus-black-sea/167431/

Flanagan, et al., Rand Corp. (2020), on Russian defense priorities: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA300/RRA357-1/RAND_RRA357-1.pdf

Ulrich Kuhn, Carnegie Endowment (2018), on major defense escalation in Baltics fracturing NATO consensus: https://carnegieendowment.org/2018/03/28/preventing-escalation-in-baltics-nato-playbook-pub-75878

Paul and Ciolan, European Policy Centre (August 2021), on NATO historically prioritizing Baltics over Black Sea: https://www.epc.eu/en/Publications/Kremlins-quest-for-mare-nostrum-Enhancing-Black-Sea-security-to-stop~3fcff0